The Alapaha River is on the rise again. So far the prediction is for minimal to moderate flooding, but it is raining this morning and more rain is predicted too.
This is the “puddle” of water in our backyard left over from the Easter Flood of 2009 and recent rains.We moved here in June 1984. The people we bought the property from asked us to come see the river in April 1984 when it flooded, so we would know what we were facing. No big deal – the river was running across the back quarter of the yard, which is the lowest part of the yard.
A view of the “puddle” at the back fence – it spreads into the property behind and beside us.
Our property is in the 100-year flood plain, which we thought meant that it would only flood her once in every 100 years. A lot of other people think that too. Wrong!!!
According to The "1OO-Year Flood", a US Geological Survey fact sheet: The term "100-year flood" is misleading because it leads people to believe that it happens only once every 100 years. The truth is that an uncommonly big flood can happen any year. The term "100-year flood" is really a statistical designation, and there is a 1-in-100 chance that a flood this size will happen during any year. Perhaps a better term would be the "1-in-100 chance flood."
The river runs through a deep ditch into the road past our house. This was taken Friday afternoon just as the river reached flood stage.
So …. Of the 8 recorded floods since 1948, 5 occurred after we moved here. The worst recorded flood was the Easter Flood last year, when the river crested more than 7 feet above flood stage.
Right now the prediction is for 2 feet above flood stage by tomorrow night – it is already a foot over flood stage.
The greenhouse is ready.
My greenhouse may or may not flood – it depends on how high the water rises. I moved most of the plants up on the tables just in case. The hibiscus plants are several years old and declining so I left them on the floor. The other two plants are peace lilies and they will survive wet feet.
I will keep you posted - so check back again.
I hope your greenhosue stays dry! That's what I always though the 100-Year Flood Plain designation menat. Thanks for clearing that up for me!
ReplyDeleteIsn't that the case? Too much or too little... Hope you're managing okay! I'm envious of your greenhouse, Melody! Maybe someday for me. :-)
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